Batten's Best Buy

Batten’s Best Buy Round 12 – Tom J. Lynch

As SuperCoaches, we are faced with many tough decisions on a week-to-week basis. Dan will aim to outline the ‘best buy’ of the Round in terms of price, overall output and/or cash generation for the rest of the season.

Previous BBB’s: Isaac Heeney (Round 8), Josh P. Kennedy (Round 9), Todd Goldstein (Round 10), Joel Selwood (Round 11)

We are back on track after ‘calling’ Joel Selwood’s 152 point effort last week. Panicked a bit when he went off the ground with a litre of sauce coming from his head, but that only made him better.

Other  BBB’s are travelling well (besides Goldstein who has been relatively average), and it is my pleasure to add Tom J. Lynch’s name to this ‘prestigious’ list.

Tom J. Lynch

Price: $433,500
Current average: 90.4
2016 average: 93.2
Predicted average from here on: 95-100
Breakeven: 76

Towards the end of last season, Jonathan Brown labelled Gold Coast’s Tom Lynch as the best player in the competition.

This was a massive call, with many footy fans criticising the star forward’s claim.

While he isn’t the best player at this stage – or even the best tall forward in the comp, for that matter – there is no doubting that Tom Lynch at $433,500 is immense SuperCoach value.

Admittedly, though, Lynch hasn’t lived up to the heights many thought he would reach this season. Lynch has raised the bat on just four occasions, but has scored above 87 in eight of his ten matches.

Poor delivery again this season and a couple of down games sees his SuperCoach average sit at 90.4 points per game, booting 25 goals from his 10 games to date.

We must remember this is including paltry totals of 29 and 43 in his scoring. Without these two absolute stinkers, Lynch’s average sits at 104 points per game.

However, this is also including a monster 161 against the Blues.

If anything, this sums up the issue with Tom Lynch: he is capable of both ends of the SuperCoach spectrum. But this is part and parcel of any key position player in this great (albeit frustrating) game.

Let’s take a look at those two games where he failed to fire.

Tom Lynch’s putrid of 29 came in another continent, where Port Adelaide absolutely dominated the lowly Suns to the tune of 72 points. Again the delivery inside 50 was unsatisfactory, and Jonas beat him all day one-on-one.

The 43 came in another Suns shellacking, with the Suns going down by 102 points against the rampaging Giants.

Gold Coast’s draw looks very favourable for the remainder of 2017. The Suns play just four of the current top eight in their next 12 games (including Fremantle who are lucky to still be in there). Tough roadtrips to Domain Stadium against the Dockers and Adelaide Oval to face the Power are the major challenges for the gun forward.

The two games are particularly appealing, with the Suns coming up against Hawthorn and Carlton. Charlie Dixon bagged five goals against the lowly Hawks defence just last week, and Lynch destroyed the Blues with seven goals and 161 points earlier this season.

I’d expect the Suns co-captain to go large in both of these matches and as he has shown this year, his ceiling his massive.

The 29 is now out of his three week scoring loop and if he really gets on top this weekend, we could potentially see Lynch double his breakeven of 76.

If you are looking at his current average and doubting him, consider his formidable back end to last season. The 24-year-old averaged 101 points over the last 11 games last year, scoring five tons – four of which were over 110.

We must also remember that Lynch ended the year with a 93 average as a key forward in a side that won just six games – a mighty effort considering these factors.

Now appears to be the opportune time to trade in Thomas J. Lynch, as you won’t see him cheaper this year. He also is set to tear the house down over the next two weeks, and with many struggling to field 18 for Round 13, he could set you apart from the rest.

I can see Lynch averaging 95+ from here on out and with an ownership of 8.7% at the minute, he will be a handy addition to your side.

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