Batten's Best Buy

Batten’s Best Buy Round 14 – Jake Lloyd

As SuperCoaches, we are faced with many tough decisions on a week-to-week basis. Dan will aim to outline the ‘best buy’ of the Round in terms of price, overall output and/or cash generation for the rest of the season.

Previous BBB’s: Isaac Heeney (Round 8), Josh P. Kennedy (Round 9), Todd Goldstein (Round 10), Joel Selwood (Round 11), Tom J. Lynch (Round 12), Marcus Bontempelli.

I’d like to issue a public apology to the ‘loyal’ BBB following after I told you to jump on Marcus Bontempelli a week early in the last edition. The Bont managed just the 91 and dropped in price another $17k. Don’t even get me started on Tom Lynch, who I traded in myself last week for Jack Steele…

Jake Lloyd

Price: $411,800
Current Average: 91.4 (12 games)
2016 average: 84.6 (22 games)
Predicted average from here on: 100
Breakeven: 50

Here we go, the chance for redemption. Tom Lynch and Marcus Bontempelli have appeared in my nightmares the past week, so this Batten’s Bargain Buy comes to you off about 2 hours sleep.

My nights have also been filled with SuperCoach research, attempting to find you guys the perfect bargain buy in for Round 14.

I can’t believe this has slipped past so many people’s noses. You’d think there’d be multiple articles and suggestions on a number of different SuperCoach pages about a player of this calibre, but not to be.

After trawling night after night for a valid option to choose for this article, I stumbled upon an option that absolutely nobody has publicised whatsoever during the week – Jake Lloyd.

Yep, I know you are stunned. But hear me out.

The Swans defender has averaged 91.4 SuperCoach points for the season, coming in at a cheap price of $411,800. But this average has been severely impacted by his measly score of 4 against Hawthorn.

“But Dan, why would I trade in a player who is susceptible to scores of under 5?”

Well, you’ve stumped me. That is a very good point.

Alright, back to normality.

Every man and his dog are trading in Jake Lloyd this week if they don’t already have him. Lloyd’s score of four was a result of a concussion sustained within the first two minutes of play (1% gametime), with his only statistic for the game being a handball. And what a bloody good handball that was.

Since then, Lloyd price has been falling faster than Nat Fyfe’s trade currency. The 23-year-old has dropped from $508,200 to $411,800 in three games despite scores of 92 and 100 in the past fortnight, giving him immense value in defence.

Looking at his form this season, he is a top 5 defender. Lloyd is actually averaging 99.6 points per game without his score of 4, which has him sitting only behind Docherty, Adams, Laird and Roberton for defence average.

So from this, he already is a top 5 defender, but I can see him continuing this sort of scoring for the rest of the season. He appears to have locked down the Swans #1 rebounding defender role, and his point scoring capacity has only improved with Nic Newman’s inclusion to the side.

Lloyd’s past six games have shown tremendous consistency, hitting the ton in five of these matches with a low score of 92.

The one knock on Lloyd is that he is prone to picking up a lot of cheap pill in defence – or as I like to call it, the Heath Shaw Factor. This is both a positive and a negative as it means we get more points, but it also results in a low disposal-to-points ratio.

Lloyd is averaging 30 disposals in 2017 but has not managed to amass a score over 114. However, the fact that he has not fallen below 84 points (but didn’t he also score 4??)  this season makes him a very reliable option going forward.

Surprisingly, only about 10,000 coaches are trading in Jakey boy this week. Considering his ownership is 15.5%, I would have thought it’d be around the 84.5% mark of SuperCoaches looking to bring him in.

In fairness many have already filled up their defence, which makes Lloyd not the greatest priority for all.

However, if you are one that is in need of a defensive upgrade, Lloyd is the obvious choice.

Blokes like Tom Stewart, Jarrod Berry and Ed Vickers-Willis are ripe for the culling, and it will only take you another $80-150k to get your hands on a top five defender.

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